APR 23 2012

NATO Multiple Futures’ Project

Scenario Planning

NATO Multiple Futures Project video http://www.act.nato.int/index.php/mfp-documents

APR 22 2012

Personal Scenario Planning

Scenario Planning

Personal Scenario Planning http://www.wired.com/special_multimedia/2009/ff_scenario_1708

APR 22 2012

A Critique of Scenario Planning

Scenario Planning

A Critique of Scenario Planning in The Oil Drum blog. http://anz.theoildrum.com/node/3572

APR 22 2012

Urban Water Management

Scenario Planning

Urban Water Management Scenario Planning Case Study http://www.eawag.ch/forschung/sww/schwerpunkte/urbane_einzugsgebiete/szenarioanalyse/index_EN

APR 21 2012

Scenario Planning (video)

Scenario Planning

APR 21 2012

Future Scenario (courtesy of MIT)

Scenario Planning

APR 20 2012

Fritz Zwickey

Scenario Planning

The scenario planning approach of Fritz Zwickey (see http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/gma.pdf ) is worth considering. In his approach, you start with the objective/goal/output and work backwards towards its “atomic” components (attributes). By fleshing out full sets of attributes, you can then move forward and develop possible, alternative objectives/goals/outputs based on fuller sets of attributes. (see http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newCT_03.htm ).

APR 20 2012

Herman Kahn

Nuclear weapon, Scenario Planning

Modern scenario planning starts with Herman Kahn. Kahn’s work on MAD (mutually assured destruction due to nuclear war) in the 1950’s led to ideas/innovations such as “duck and cover” and fallout shelters (based on his future scenarios of the world after an all-out nuclear war). Although these concepts seem a bit weird and almost bizarrely…

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APR 20 2012

Scenario Planning Wikibook

Scenario Planning

Scenario Planning Wikibook http://en.wikibooks.org/wiki/Future/Scenario#Scenario_Planning

APR 20 2012

Scenario Planning Institute

Scenario Planning

A link to the Scenario Planning Institute at Colorado State. http://www.scenarioplanning.colostate.edu/

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