Governor Brown’s approach to drought management in California is admirable, but flawed. His order to “implement mandatory water reductions in cities and towns across California to reduce water usage by 25 percent” is an essential first step to capture the public’s awareness by engineering a socioeconomic drought, but his proposed solution addresses only a portion…
Read the rest
Figure 1 Temperature Anomalies during the Past 1000 Years Source: Wolfram Alpha “Well, who you gonna believe, me or your own eyes?” Despite their seeming familiarity, these words aren’t an absurdist argument posed by a climate change denier. These words spoken by a disguised Chicolini in the bedroom scene from Duck Soup, however, do present…
Read the rest
Intrade probability that Global Average Temperature for 2010-2014 will exceed 2005-2009 by 0.1 degree C. Related articles Intrade shuts out American bettors Americans Forced to Close Their Intrade Accounts Sorry, Americans – no more betting on Intrade Are Prediction Markets Against the Public Interest? A Bet Or A Prediction? Intrade’s Purpose Is Debated
Farming Futures Bayesian networks support Greenhouse Gas emission reduction in the Agricultural Sector’(BaNGAS). This case aims to assist farmers in finding cost-effective means of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from their farms. http://www.farmingfutures.org.uk/blog/new-tool-help-farmers-count-cost-reducing-emissions
Many analysts have observed that the range of the expected future impacts of anthropogenic climate change is highly dependent upon discount rates. Depending upon the time horizon and discount rate selected, one can derive almost any desired outcome. Given this observation, it is crucial that one carefully consider and document one’s reasoning related to choice…
Read the rest