NATO Multiple Futures Project video http://www.act.nato.int/index.php/mfp-documents

The scenario planning approach of Fritz Zwickey (see http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/gma.pdf ) is worth considering. In his approach, you start with the objective/goal/output and work backwards towards its “atomic” components (attributes). By fleshing out full sets of attributes, you can then move forward and develop possible, alternative objectives/goals/outputs based on fuller sets of attributes. (see http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newCT_03.htm ).

Modern scenario planning starts with Herman Kahn. Kahn’s work on MAD (mutually assured destruction due to nuclear war) in the 1950’s led to ideas/innovations such as “duck and cover” and fallout shelters (based on his future scenarios of the world after an all-out nuclear war). Although these concepts seem a bit weird and almost bizarrely…

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Farming Futures Bayesian networks support Greenhouse Gas emission reduction in the Agricultural Sector’(BaNGAS). This case aims to assist farmers in finding cost-effective means of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from their farms. http://www.farmingfutures.org.uk/blog/new-tool-help-farmers-count-cost-reducing-emissions